Kayo Nishimura vs Natsuho Arakawa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Who performs better at second serve points? Arakawa leads with 38.98% compared to Nishimura’s 35.05%, which can be indicative of favorable match predictions.
• Who has a better return game? For second serve returns, Arakawa has a slight edge with 50% over Nishimura’s 49.75%. However, Nishimura excels in first serve returns at 39.26%, ahead of Arakawa's 31.44%.
• In pressure situations, such as saving breakpoints, Arakawa surpasses Nishimura by saving 48.66% compared to 40% success for Nishimura.
• Overall yearly performance indicates Nishimura’s strength, with a 55.56% win rate, compared to Arakawa’s 39.13%.
• On their preferred surface, Hard court, Nishimura again outshines with a career win rate of 63%, while Arakawa stands at 45%.
• In Challenger/ITF matches, Nishimura holds a better win rate of 47.37% over Arakawa’s 40%.
• Have they faced off directly before? Yes, with Nishimura winning their only match 2-1 in sets.
• What about pressure during matches? Neither player has won in tiebreaks, but Nishimura succeeded in their only deciding set against each other.
• Nishimura has the advantage when facing higher-ranked opponents, despite Arakawa having played against a slightly stronger average opponent, based on rank.
• Despite Arakawa's higher percentage of winning deciding sets (58%), Nishimura’s performance in such sets is superior at 67% across the last year.
• Arakawa is more efficient in breakpoint conversions at 39.42% when compared to Nishimura's 35.57%.

Editorial Prediction (July 23, 2025, UTC):

When assessing the head-to-head statistics, Nishimura shows a stronger performance overall, focusing on first serve returns and winning a greater percentage of matches over the past year.

Nishimura's consistent performance on hard courts provides a favorable outlook, especially given their better win record on this surface compared to Arakawa. Additionally, Nishimura has proven more victorious in their previous encounters, establishing an edge in this matchup.

While Arakawa excels in some specific areas, such as second serve points and breakpoint conversion, the overall strengths indicated by historical performance patterns suggest that Nishimura is the likely winner in this upcoming tennis match.